Bruins-Hurricanes Game 7 preview, projected lineups, odds and prediction

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The winner of the first-round playoff series between the Boston Bruins and Carolina Hurricanes will be decided Saturday afternoon in Game 7 at PNC Arena.

The home team has won every game in this series. The Bruins are hoping to break that trend and advance to the second round for the fifth straight year.

One factor in the Bruins' favor is experience. The Bruins have played in a ton of Game 7s -- 12 since 2008 and three since 2018 -- and their two-best forwards, Patrice Bergeron and Brad Marchand, have often played pretty well in these matchups. Bergeron has six goals in his last seven Game 7s. Marchand scored twice in Game 7 of the 2011 Stanley Cup Final against the Vancouver Canucks, leading the B's to a championship and their first and only Game 7 road win in team history.

Neither team is expected to make any changes to its Game 6 lineup. Bruins goalie Jeremy Swayman and Hurricanes goalie Antti Raanta will each make their first career Game 7 start.

Here's what needs to happen for Bruins to win Game 7 vs. Hurricanes

On this date 13 years ago, the Hurricanes beat the Bruins in Game 7 of the second round when Scott Walker scored in overtime. Will the B's get revenge Saturday afternoon?

Here's a preview of Bruins-Hurricanes Game 7, including projected lineups, betting odds and more.

Key storylines

Lindholm's return, two-way excellence is huge for B's

Hampus Lindholm returned to action in Game 6 after missing the three previous matchups because of an upper body injury. He was knocked out of Game 2 by a hard hit from Hurricanes forward Andrei Svechnikov. 

The Swedish defenseman played very well in his return. He helped the Bruins exit their own zone cleanly and defended very well -- including a breakup of a 2-on-1 scoring chance during the first period. Lindholm actually led all players with 24:48 of time in Game 6, including just over three minutes played on both the power play and penalty kill.

The Bruins have a 62-38 edge in shot attempts, a 29-20 lead in shots on net and a 28-20 advantage in scoring chances during Lindholm's 46:49 of even-strength ice time this series. He's helping Boston drive puck possession, scoring chances and defend at a high level. 

Expect the Bruins to ride their top pairing of Lindholm and Charlie McAvoy as much as possible in this must-win Game 7. Don't be surprised if both play 25-plus minutes.

Will the officials keep calling lots of penalties?

Special teams has been a huge area of weakness for the Bruins during the games played in Carolina.

The 'Canes have had an average of 6.33 power plays in their home games, and they've scored four times with the man advantage (twice in Game 2 and Game 5). This success on the power play is one of the biggest reasons why Carolina has outscored Boston 15-4 at PNC Arena.

The Bruins power play has been awful on the road, converting on just one of 11 opportunities. Game 5 was a low point for Boston's power play as it generated just three shots on net and only one high-danger scoring chance in 5:12 of time with the man advantage.

There have been 61 power plays in this series -- 33 for Carolina and 28 for Boston. That's a lot of ice time with guys in the penalty box.

Officiating could play a key role in the outcome of Game 7, and B's head coach Bruce Cassidy is already trying to get the referees' attention. Speaking to reporters on Friday, he lauded the Hurricanes' ability to sell penalties.

"They’re a very good team at drawing penalties, and they’re a very good team at selling penalties," Cassidy said. "So we have to make sure that we’re playing hard, but intelligent. And when we are in the box, then our kill has to come through for us."

Projected Lineups

BOSTON BRUINS

Forwards

Brad Marchand--Patrice Bergeron--Jake DeBrusk

Taylor Hall--Erik Haula--David Pastrnak

Trent Frederic--Charlie Coyle--Craig Smith

Nick Foligno--Tomas Nosek--Curtis Lazar

Defensemen

Hampus Lindholm--Charlie McAvoy

Mike Reilly--Brandon Carlo

Derek Forbort--Connor Clifton

Goalie

Jeremy Swayman

CAROLINA HURRICANES

Forwards

Andrei Svechnikov--Sebastian Aho--Seth Jarvis

Teuvo Teravainen--Vincent Trocheck--Martin Necas

Nino Niederreiter--Jordan Staal--Jesper Fast

Max Domi--Jesperi Kotkaniemi--Derek Stepan

Defensemen

Jaccob Slavin--Tony DeAngelo

Brady Skjei--Brett Pesce

Brendan Smith--Ian Cole

Goalie 

Antti Raanta

Odds

Moneyline

Hurricanes: -140

Bruins: +120

Over/Under Total Goals

Over 6: +105

Under 6: -125

All lines via PointsBet

Prediction

Bruins win 3-1

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