Historical trends suggest Bruins need Game 5 to take home Stanley Cup

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For the 10th time in the last 12 years, the Stanley Cup Final will be decided in at least six games, as the 2019 Final is guaranteed to return to St. Louis. 

After the Bruins’ Game 4 loss, the Stanley Cup Final is coming back to Boston at a 2-2 stalemate. With the series now a best-of-three, a pivotal Game 5 may decide who takes home the Cup. 

The team that has won Game 5 in a best-of-seven Cup Final has won the series 18 of 25 times (72%). 

A 2-2 tie heading into Game 5 isn't rare. Since 1939, when the Stanley Cup Final became a best-of-seven, a team has won Game 4 to tie the series 26 times, per NHL Public Relations. Of those times, the team that knotted the series has gone won it all 10 times, but lost the other 16. So the historical edge remains with the Bruins, who have home-ice advantage in Game 5 and Game 7, if necessary. 

The Bruins and Blues next play on Thursday, and Boston could certainly use the extra days off. On Monday night, they were out-skated to 50/50 pucks and looked tired on the ice, especially after Chara took a puck to the face and exited the game with a mouth injury. Boston’s already down one defenseman, as Matt Grzelyck remains in concussion protocol. 

“From the get-go they were winning loose pucks, winning their battles,” center Charlie Coyle said after the game. “They came hungry, and we need to do a better job...we didn’t have it as much as they did.” 

The Bruins will need to have “it” on Thursday night in the Boston Garden, or else they’ll be on the wrong end of historical trends.

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