Patriots favored by more than a touchdown in Miami on Sunday NFL odds


The New England Patriots (9-3) have looked like their late-season selves again going into a Week 14 divisional road matchup with the Miami Dolphins (6-6) on Sunday.  But if previous betting trends in this AFC East series continue as well, then New England will likely struggle again at Miami as a 7.5-point betting favorite at sportsbooks monitored by

While the Pittsburgh Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs have both suffered losses more recently in the chase for the top two seeds in the conference, the Patriots have won their last two games since their bye week and eight of their last nine to move into the No. 2 spot. The problem is, New England has gone just 1-4 straight up and against the spread in the team's last five visits to Hard Rock Stadium, according to the OddsShark NFL Database.

Then again, the Dolphins have not fared well lately in Foxborough either, falling 38-7 as 6.5-point road underdogs in Week 4 when they were a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS to start the year. Dating back to 2012, the visiting team is only 1-11 SU and ATS in the past 12 meetings, which is definitely something to consider for those thinking about laying the points with the Patriots.

Another reason to be wary of New England in this spot is that the team is playing the first of back-to-back road games and visits Pittsburgh next week. It is hard to imagine the defending AFC champions looking past an opponent though - especially within the division when you are led by two future Hall of Famers in head coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady.

However, Miami still has something to play for too, as the team is currently sitting in the No. 7 spot, just one game behind the Baltimore Ravens for the conference's final playoff berth. The Dolphins ended a two-game skid last week with a 21-17 win over the Buffalo Bills to keep their postseason hopes alive, barely covering the closing number as 3.5-point home favorites. That victory improved their home mark versus AFC East opponents to 4-1 in their last five.

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